{"id":"W4301399178","doi":"10.21511/ppm.20(3).2022.46","title":"Applied aspects of time series models for predicting residential property prices in Bulgaria","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Problems and Perspectives in Management","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Autoregressive integrated moving average; Real estate; Residential property; Quarter (Canadian coin); Investment (military); Econometrics; Regression analysis; Variables; Hedonic regression; Time series; Business; Economics; Actuarial science; Finance; Statistics; Geography; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009468054,0.0001103431,0.00029457,0.0003373097,0.0001146776,0.00004670788,0.0001517514,0.00002772648,0.0001220137],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001029174,0.0001190039,0.00003850837,0.0001783085,0.00004529743,0.0002097474,0.0002433708,0.0001033162,0.000002400933],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001753602,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000008886684,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004081232,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001486666,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998879,0.00001004539,0.0004474968,0.0004130949,0.00003231676,0.00021804],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995949,0.00002351611,0.0002090164,0.000143223,0.000009079798,0.00002024941],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002628562,0.000273675,0.009190816,0.0005221617,0.00009024785,0.000003242572,0.01973076,0.06843416,0.00002333185,0.8995247,0.00009123681,0.001852841],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002133975,0.0002320054,0.01169363,0.00005131571,0.00001306517,0.000002177379,0.009521389,0.09161063,0.00001405231,0.8800051,0.004318143,0.0004044778],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1479274,0.001501643,0.004535598,0.0007273107,0.0002238373,0.002571916,0.00007932726,0.00004709364,0.8423859],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9950697,0.0007609995,0.00290062,0.00001248577,0.00002571029,0.0003869195,0.000007210428,0.00002070422,0.0008156464],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8471423,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4852838,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03297134895856053,"score_gpt":0.2038828580257035,"score_spread":0.1709115090671429,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}