{"id":"W4302307174","doi":"10.29412/res.wp.2022.12","title":"Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"Working paper series","topic":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung","keywords":"Recession; Earnings; Economics; Labour economics; Welfare; Current Population Survey; Quarter (Canadian coin); Preference; Affect (linguistics); Population; Demographic economics; Finance; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007723255,0.0001048873,0.0002577168,0.0004489038,0.000373372,0.001148843,0.0002569692,0.0004422385,0.005794233],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004118145,0.000180463,0.0002636781,0.0006900593,0.000232238,0.0007026159,0.0007665721,0.0007218287,0.0008440503],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003711841,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004529095,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0288514,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05002686,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997272,0.00006204427,0.00001275413,0.00004994144,0.00002709237,0.0001210514],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983353,0.0002846266,0.0006796098,0.00006869752,0.0001256231,0.000506207],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003196772,0.0001303759,0.9741854,0.00003058909,0.00007732323,0.00008519519,0.00192419,0.0005783403,0.0003701847,0.0009478766,0.002985405,0.01836552],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002696294,0.00002696056,0.9974777,0.00002270378,0.00001082202,0.00001646368,0.00120152,0.0002491135,0.00002556726,0.000246324,0.0007154658,0.000004526242],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9959881,0.0005333835,0.0001310635,0.001102664,0.00001363625,0.000004824187,0.0008824886,0.00000320479,0.001340586],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978388,0.000414347,0.00004406957,0.00008070208,0.0000108176,0.000004790465,0.0005542076,0.00000449231,0.001047758],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0288514,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05736691,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05091795576885209,"score_gpt":0.2486088947919425,"score_spread":0.1976909390230904,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}