{"id":"W4303422253","doi":"10.30525/2256-0742/2022-8-3-7-13","title":"CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AND REAL ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE EUROZONE","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Baltic Journal of Economic Studies","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Consumer confidence index; Economics; Real gross domestic product; Financial crisis; Inflation (cosmology); Economic indicator; Economic recovery; Quarter (Canadian coin); Consumer spending; Confidence interval; Macroeconomics; Monetary economics; Economy; Geography; Recession; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001212217,0.0002818693,0.0002414116,0.001707128,0.0001198146,0.001848163,0.0001736123,0.0003326027,0.001437572],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005271961,0.00008121719,0.000391139,0.002750086,0.000532083,0.0007642494,0.0007069407,0.0005587944,0.0002616095],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005707567,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002070847,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007941532,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003007029,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995154,0.0001523399,0.00005141032,0.00008475062,0.0001394939,0.0000566107],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9955646,0.001680815,0.0017696,0.0001918675,0.0005420375,0.0002511569],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002812289,0.00005616917,0.9856044,0.00003947182,0.0001264168,0.0002689005,0.0005975275,0.003077224,0.0002232433,0.001335086,0.000801174,0.007589115],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003751998,0.00004504096,0.9957075,0.00001993326,0.00001257165,0.00008930478,0.0006956327,0.002109678,0.0001355201,0.0003276698,0.0008434898,0.000009819137],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9948809,0.0005468876,0.0002274331,0.0001679972,0.00001839767,0.000003748619,0.0006786173,0.00001590836,0.003460176],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9987858,0.0001728933,0.00008681705,0.00001284081,0.00001160958,0.000003143308,0.0006523178,0.000003262896,0.0002712763],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007941532,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01579064,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1171002953986321,"score_gpt":0.2808700909147716,"score_spread":0.1637697955161395,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}