{"id":"W4306789923","doi":"10.1215/00703370-10290429","title":"Research Note: Intergenerational Transmission Is Not Sufficient for Positive Long-Term Population Growth","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Demography","topic":"Global Health Care Issues","field":"Health Professions","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development","keywords":"Fertility; Population; Population growth; Total fertility rate; Population momentum; Demography; Term (time); Economics; Birth rate; Demographic economics; Family planning; Research methodology; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003240969,0.0002484093,0.0003785698,0.0004686034,0.0007602285,0.001325134,0.0006198836,0.00066031,0.0132256],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01700449,0.0001342297,0.0003479583,0.0006936705,0.001691993,0.003271577,0.001195375,0.001222151,0.001185571],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001029266,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001413467,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00475673,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003842633,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989725,0.0003916024,0.00006453751,0.0002483644,0.0002174992,0.0001055557],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9828299,0.01060261,0.002759601,0.001807905,0.001672848,0.0003271818],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002464516,0.0001729954,0.2242642,0.0008501354,0.0001470603,0.001108754,0.003611022,0.006204176,0.003087509,0.626493,0.01382568,0.1199891],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007841978,0.0004030848,0.2714731,0.001034959,0.0003721971,0.004456713,0.01394433,0.02586273,0.008008825,0.6080433,0.06620912,0.0001133254],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5858506,0.005803013,0.03926985,0.1011399,0.0006054047,0.0001484776,0.002098665,0.0001727428,0.2649113],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9895979,0.001729819,0.003819331,0.001059912,0.0001562995,0.00003209097,0.0002335709,0.00002005553,0.003350882],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0132256,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04424411,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09500547484512245,"score_gpt":0.4986323560540314,"score_spread":0.403626881208909,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}