{"id":"W4307238017","doi":"10.1029/2022ef003015","title":"Climate Change Determines Future Population Exposure to Summertime Compound Dry and Hot Events","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth s Future","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":69,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Climate change; Environmental science; Population; Coupled model intercomparison project; Mediterranean climate; Population growth; Representative Concentration Pathways; Climatology; Global warming; Climate model; Physical geography; Geography; Environmental protection; Environmental health; Ecology; Medicine; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002388971,0.000156743,0.0001574284,0.0000375065,0.0004542629,0.00002641087,0.0001502498,0.00006657153,0.001946328],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000004070685,0.0001490249,0.00004679122,0.0002016701,0.00002173184,0.0002252907,0.000438433,0.0001734385,0.00007444112],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004420517,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000002181695,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002292121,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006405489,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987416,0.00009738267,0.0001718788,0.0003780971,0.000307176,0.0003038859],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999526,0.00001668653,0.00005760774,0.0002622512,0.000004411807,0.0001329904],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00022797,0.0001949025,0.9474222,0.00005291633,0.00001168025,0.00002418034,0.005419776,0.001615502,0.002570233,0.0003153509,0.001096873,0.04104839],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003115797,0.0001836514,0.9382638,0.000008232805,0.00001373536,0.00001553069,0.0006296579,0.0006462208,0.00002460398,0.0001589626,0.05951038,0.0002336462],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9960716,0.0001480463,0.000005444211,0.002114306,0.0006518745,0.0004415461,0.0001250822,0.00005176861,0.0003903766],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972114,0.00005837562,0.0006270035,0.001224539,0.0005467074,0.0000825387,0.0000951203,0.00001704617,0.0001372531],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0584135,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.998966,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01831366032504649,"score_gpt":0.2341878369649845,"score_spread":0.215874176639938,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}