{"id":"W4307561081","doi":"10.1257/aer.20201892","title":"Persistent Polarizing Effects of Persuasion: Experimental Evidence from Turkey","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"American Economic Review","topic":"Media Influence and Politics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":37,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Referendum; Polarization (electrochemistry); Persuasion; Executive power; Economics; Turkish; Political science; Social psychology; Psychology; Law; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00438453,0.0009312433,0.0008838574,0.0006569593,0.0007144047,0.00179646,0.0007119475,0.001020583,0.01244957],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01587543,0.0003076768,0.0005659083,0.0007434276,0.001361317,0.0007607467,0.000887747,0.0009298571,0.001530825],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001045852,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003292299,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002269731,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001968254,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973037,0.001796202,0.0001658282,0.0003303083,0.0002076126,0.0001962994],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9685342,0.02233818,0.00534864,0.002561323,0.0008374915,0.0003801764],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"nonrandomized_trial","study_design_scores_codex":[0.1647072,0.07267684,0.2680584,0.007303916,0.005098235,0.002152177,0.01033655,0.02469076,0.05251215,0.04490623,0.02492417,0.3226334],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0189468,0.05863082,0.7745168,0.0007495273,0.007873578,0.0009899923,0.008922474,0.03191725,0.02877023,0.04358439,0.024635,0.0004632038],"study_design_candidate":"nonrandomized_trial","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9889072,0.0006390294,0.0004294168,0.000233978,0.00004620174,0.00007544317,0.0002508796,0.0000130371,0.009404814],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9973284,0.000522384,0.0004339325,0.0001368028,0.00003833477,0.00008892969,0.0002947033,0.00001347031,0.001143045],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01244957,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04164791,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03895689278976783,"score_gpt":0.3464301169754735,"score_spread":0.3074732241857057,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}