{"id":"W4308045442","doi":"10.1038/s41586-022-05398-2","title":"A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature","topic":"Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":238,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia; University of Calgary; Dalhousie University; University of Toronto; University of Saskatchewan; University of Alberta; University of Ottawa","funders":"Medical Research Council; Generalitat de Catalunya; Centres de Recerca de Catalunya; Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Johns Hopkins University; National Institute for Health and Care Research; City University of New York","keywords":"Multinational corporation; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Public health; Delphi method; Business; Political science; Virology; Medicine; Computer science; Law; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Outbreak","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001397205,0.00006375643,0.00008534239,0.00006785739,0.002466129,0.00006597927,0.0003533813,0.0001399202,0.001980257],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001375419,0.00005021088,0.00004983268,0.0005286095,0.00001858061,0.0000437655,0.0001137555,0.0009878776,0.00001793891],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004846028,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001715641,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00115192,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006529619,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984484,0.0003770195,0.0001092203,0.0001814535,0.0005962659,0.0002876116],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990631,0.0003965255,0.00005962145,0.0001435782,0.00008725726,0.0002499189],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000175794,0.00005631841,0.007332658,0.000005231107,0.00001253312,0.00001591314,0.02868038,0.00006799932,0.000006196057,0.1893998,0.7701752,0.004230235],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002185944,0.00003268327,0.006001152,7.843377e-7,0.000001834551,0.00000756908,0.005999413,0.0000131189,5.366999e-7,0.002431299,0.9852281,0.00006492126],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04623633,0.002295617,0.00006921879,0.9429399,0.0004942274,0.0004408349,0.0000948313,0.000077307,0.007351726],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8696861,0.00002391507,0.0001372702,0.1272828,0.0002700085,0.00004330065,0.0000167274,0.000005622761,0.002534298],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8234498,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9989321,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06009549307076086,"score_gpt":0.3790782103121517,"score_spread":0.3189827172413909,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}