{"id":"W4308915401","doi":"10.1126/sciadv.abn3112","title":"Climate models fail to capture strengthening wintertime North Atlantic jet and impacts on Europe","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science Advances","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":83,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Precipitation; Climate model; Atmospheric circulation; Environmental science; Divergence (linguistics); Atlantic multidecadal oscillation; Jet (fluid); Jet stream; General Circulation Model; Circulation (fluid dynamics); Coupled model intercomparison project; Climate system; Climate change; Centennial; North Atlantic oscillation; Atmospheric sciences; Geography; Geology; Meteorology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006037993,0.0001458918,0.0001324984,0.00006867207,0.0008071826,0.00008810747,0.0005029489,0.00001090523,0.0003500574],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008253748,0.0001182556,0.00002357599,0.0008050195,0.0003845169,0.001027358,0.0009125699,0.0001557894,0.0000793785],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001280487,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002024103,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001846804,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002826022,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980383,0.00004680577,0.0001705196,0.0006138806,0.0006018902,0.0005286032],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993913,0.00006224497,0.00006222622,0.0002899354,0.00001034904,0.0001839116],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009398469,0.0001013927,0.07736957,0.00001396459,0.000002356767,0.00001757591,0.006445827,0.887035,0.01958756,0.0007866194,0.000110685,0.008435536],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002544176,0.0048694,0.2358256,0.0003185614,0.0001017518,0.0002572261,0.01188496,0.6447573,0.009755664,0.01474539,0.0706147,0.004325286],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9948711,0.00004308794,0.0001627578,0.0004503866,0.0001325813,0.0001870196,0.00003555347,0.00004719334,0.004070311],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985233,0.00003657129,0.0005815856,0.0007466181,0.000008602666,0.00001797015,0.000003670816,0.00000892444,0.0000727743],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2422776,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6208277,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01530741753166316,"score_gpt":0.2461095143642857,"score_spread":0.2308020968326225,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}