{"id":"W4308915401","doi":"10.1126/sciadv.abn3112","title":"Climate models fail to capture strengthening wintertime North Atlantic jet and impacts on Europe","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science Advances","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":83,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Precipitation; Climate model; Atmospheric circulation; Environmental science; Divergence (linguistics); Atlantic multidecadal oscillation; Jet (fluid); Jet stream; General Circulation Model; Circulation (fluid dynamics); Coupled model intercomparison project; Climate system; Climate change; Centennial; North Atlantic oscillation; Atmospheric sciences; Geography; Geology; Meteorology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002284113,0.0006597888,0.0007513009,0.000438235,0.0003634549,0.001654903,0.0007349626,0.0008127212,0.001046975],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005330503,0.0004032275,0.0009402458,0.0009342667,0.0004949265,0.001672706,0.0006930801,0.0006699456,0.0002734705],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008975228,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001105957,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03366991,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03800806,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993458,0.00029222,0.00008152587,0.0001358204,0.00006713373,0.00007741323],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986314,0.0005204795,0.0002657932,0.0003032803,0.0001704074,0.0001085595],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001460004,0.00006107232,0.2147932,0.0001216369,0.000779928,0.0001022782,0.0001366157,0.7649382,0.001628382,0.002237844,0.002267825,0.01278717],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001508533,0.0001106562,0.154736,0.00009285316,0.0003841561,0.00009770616,0.0002442744,0.8339029,0.00187451,0.004413056,0.003924267,0.00006873091],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9877326,0.0004788617,0.004641114,0.0009812911,0.00006962728,0.00001034166,0.001340663,0.0003515992,0.004393893],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9977,0.0001864281,0.001090776,0.0001151412,0.00001615137,0.000006811171,0.0006411545,0.00004191084,0.0002015895],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03366991,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06694788,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01530741753166316,"score_gpt":0.2461095143642857,"score_spread":0.2308020968326225,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}