{"id":"W4310163610","doi":"10.33423/jabe.v24i5.5623","title":"The Kaya Identity in Energy Forecasting","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Applied Business and Economics","topic":"Global Energy and Sustainability Research","field":"Energy","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Oligopoly; Fossil fuel; Transparency (behavior); Economics; Shareholder; Natural resource economics; Energy (signal processing); Status quo; Petroleum industry; Monetary economics; Business; Financial economics; Market economy; Corporate governance; Environmental science; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009090659,0.00007148447,0.0001708388,0.00009052223,0.0003704952,0.0001013883,0.0002483366,0.00002925292,0.00003798741],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004767486,0.00005646786,0.00003994101,0.0002466421,0.00006090924,0.0001824946,0.0002383808,0.0002000122,3.795372e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001967694,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001214923,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006879364,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001888603,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992021,0.00002886348,0.0003642672,0.00009576723,0.00009579276,0.00021326],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994749,0.0001105038,0.0001788682,0.0001038049,0.00008393823,0.00004796353],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003559588,0.00004135426,0.0005266526,0.0000105299,0.00002139082,0.00001856714,0.0001179387,0.3867798,0.00001733907,0.5211408,0.00004379043,0.09092592],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001453634,0.0000716026,0.008214366,0.000006575494,0.00001308593,0.0001887259,0.005927953,0.0212402,0.00005568055,0.6592283,0.3033867,0.0002131746],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9893992,0.0003098474,0.00006195791,0.0006360168,0.0002047404,0.0000269942,0.000001128018,0.00000266887,0.009357437],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991015,0.0005257507,0.00004921406,0.0001100695,0.0001086581,0.00000922652,0.000001134673,0.000008243534,0.0000862272],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3655396,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2849587,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01595885103733766,"score_gpt":0.2286576286730131,"score_spread":0.2126987776356755,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}