{"id":"W4310230915","doi":"10.5539/ies.v15n6p109","title":"A Comparative Study on the Forecast Models of the Enrollment Proportion of General Education and Vocational Education","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Education Studies","topic":"Grey System Theory Applications","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Vocational education; Exponential smoothing; Autoregressive integrated moving average; Econometrics; Mathematics education; General education; Higher education; China; Sample (material); Demographic economics; Statistics; Psychology; Economic growth; Geography; Economics; Mathematics; Time series","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00224976,0.0001541489,0.0002690158,0.0003394033,0.0005655278,0.00005447405,0.0008813363,0.00001992763,0.0001237968],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00102251,0.00009385961,0.00009696693,0.0007656461,0.0002504306,0.0002297663,0.000362515,0.0001466006,0.000009062835],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002934162,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001474446,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001005724,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002995886,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9959812,0.0006821255,0.0009673435,0.0004017628,0.001871621,0.00009595552],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9931764,0.0008444348,0.001253583,0.0006278991,0.004063234,0.00003444946],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001292559,0.008229567,0.03425315,0.00001702252,0.0004268444,3.005209e-8,0.05246915,0.003755666,0.001135106,0.8287482,0.03947481,0.03136116],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003446163,0.0002607402,0.2165999,0.00006731151,0.00007960457,0.00002072875,0.3626172,0.001272288,0.001271276,0.4041529,0.0131031,0.000210398],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9766364,0.0005139447,0.0002309616,0.008005952,0.003336022,0.001725008,0.000056284,0.000009370157,0.009486082],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9906205,0.000007871352,0.0002803361,0.0004027162,0.0001441686,0.002868971,0.00002036296,0.000008370588,0.005646734],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4245954,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.434964,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3016729708372373,"score_gpt":0.4957901778753774,"score_spread":0.1941172070381402,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}