{"id":"W4311024084","doi":"10.1093/jtm/taac149","title":"Estimating the size of the monkeypox virus outbreak in Nigeria and implications for global control","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Travel Medicine","topic":"Poxvirus research and outbreaks","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"St. Michael's Hospital; University of Toronto; University Health Network; BlueDot (Canada)","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Monkeypox; Medicine; Outbreak; Virology; Environmental health; Vaccinia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009805297,0.00006827321,0.0002622704,0.00003607811,0.0002102994,0.000002918537,0.0003234096,0.00003660525,0.00006288695],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001064659,0.00003377274,0.00006782186,0.0001354104,0.0002768049,0.00002533804,0.00005845894,0.0003240989,3.504295e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004937006,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001204743,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000126093,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00007184445,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990674,0.0002055825,0.0004143816,0.00006969526,0.00006551819,0.0001774792],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998702,0.0007664784,0.0003037223,0.0001357195,0.0000685997,0.00002345428],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001591717,0.0002189083,0.04815749,0.00003694988,0.0003964251,0.000005446366,0.002417479,0.0002043155,0.9001851,0.002121249,0.008952077,0.03571285],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01027154,0.001172726,0.9681716,0.00009143426,0.0001190455,0.001016256,0.001808999,0.0001622234,0.003030559,0.00777621,0.00629148,0.00008792865],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9520777,0.007498577,0.002812366,0.03532574,0.000924029,0.0006194212,0.0002186538,0.00000367439,0.0005198118],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990668,0.00003085325,0.0001053126,0.000600999,0.00006416038,0.00001951305,0.000001542797,0.000003966285,0.0001069112],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9200141,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1617474,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01810911263007592,"score_gpt":0.3045461032719424,"score_spread":0.2864369906418665,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}