{"id":"W4312430704","doi":"10.54932/xvof3031","title":"The Impact of Cyclones on Local Economic Growth: Evidence from Local Projections","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"","topic":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Q & T Research; Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations; Université de Sherbrooke","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Cyclone (programming language); Climatology; Environmental science; Term (time); Meteorology; Geography; Tropical cyclone; Proxy (statistics); Statistics; Mathematics; Geology; Computer science; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003784814,0.0003063798,0.0004793577,0.0001185275,0.0004886002,0.0001094252,0.0007826402,0.0002138531,0.03259797],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002602121,0.0001589642,0.0005112892,0.0002157623,0.0006000982,0.0001340534,0.0000852574,0.0009892001,0.0005727115],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002245254,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001929433,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7036117,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1479421,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969909,0.0002675668,0.0005724297,0.0005595459,0.001072814,0.0005367153],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967082,0.002264735,0.0001840927,0.0004843425,0.0001177103,0.0002409702],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006499134,0.0000704934,0.7181793,0.00005671801,0.0003403679,0.00004854739,0.00003396526,0.0230418,0.000003169313,0.000115331,0.04341654,0.2140438],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001161931,0.001363925,0.9753611,0.00005888794,0.00003191575,0.00002718697,0.0001332648,0.005508281,0.00002180831,0.001052256,0.01605231,0.0002728307],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.800091,0.0122096,0.002263017,0.002090673,0.004744494,0.0018188,0.004651802,0.0002348148,0.1718958],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908837,0.006343741,0.00003602879,0.00001361271,0.0005491885,0.00001269608,0.0002869261,0.000009921066,0.001864163],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5556695,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9682863,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06525446956007433,"score_gpt":0.3308148489727788,"score_spread":0.2655603794127045,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}