{"id":"W4312957722","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4240962","title":"Sectoral Uncertainty","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002425449,0.0001582404,0.0003868195,0.0003537882,0.0007280316,0.00006970313,0.0004779201,0.00005011257,0.001506764],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004509672,0.0001966698,0.0003355411,0.0003309181,0.00003506476,0.0001815394,0.00009494183,0.00174539,0.0004056715],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002192242,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006334248,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001495081,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001329122,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970913,0.00004907491,0.0006108629,0.000303522,0.00004928497,0.001895969],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991584,0.00002978174,0.0004609131,0.0002479338,0.00001762986,0.00008534877],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002435648,0.00005772864,0.01861287,0.000002031059,0.0001864103,0.000002890476,0.0002220994,0.002757575,0.000005291428,0.9754542,0.0009232095,0.001751392],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005705243,0.0001947787,0.001561896,9.939336e-7,0.00001448183,0.0001726452,0.0006130478,0.0009733618,0.000003562518,0.788789,0.2068284,0.0002773706],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9419279,0.01321172,0.004326026,0.003511282,0.001251784,0.0001557779,0.0002059859,0.00006125426,0.03534826],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9891433,0.001325848,0.00002649516,0.0006135033,0.0005517295,0.00001825593,0.00001603595,0.00002949342,0.008275368],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2059052,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999406,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01686087234847043,"score_gpt":0.213752655059978,"score_spread":0.1968917827115076,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}