{"id":"W4313007851","doi":"10.1109/bcca55292.2022.9922213","title":"Modeling the Fork Probability of Blockchains: Did EIP-1559 Improve Ethereum?","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Blockchain Technology Applications and Security","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"École de Technologie Supérieure","funders":"","keywords":"Fork (system call); Computer science; Blockchain; Order (exchange); Computer security; Operating system","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009498516,0.0001018921,0.0001432038,0.00005023049,0.0004763383,0.0000203841,0.001824868,0.00006011527,0.00003451423],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003331125,0.0000722026,0.00008388503,0.0005429841,0.0001060047,0.00005256577,0.001307482,0.0003662514,0.000002896564],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004448078,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007045829,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000190826,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004378482,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987842,0.00008857458,0.0002842411,0.0003826141,0.0002398573,0.0002204529],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983202,0.0000827536,0.00008307652,0.001405813,0.00007973677,0.0000284816],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000004050651,0.000190754,0.0001040925,0.00001010408,0.00001762803,4.400904e-7,0.0008539012,0.01228453,0.000770808,0.9583289,0.0001107052,0.02732405],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009928283,0.00006428254,0.00001971487,9.565687e-7,0.000003275099,0.00000480031,0.0002141399,0.753556,0.001121212,0.2437576,0.001080158,0.00007860846],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2975818,0.0001864046,0.6911858,0.008258875,0.0001124573,0.0005892499,0.000007499132,0.0003100758,0.001767887],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9800987,0.000004729332,0.01906107,0.0003337882,0.00001298576,0.0003676314,8.077063e-7,0.000005649196,0.0001146168],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7412714,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3663657,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01636324700175194,"score_gpt":0.2300303159862707,"score_spread":0.2136670689845187,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}