{"id":"W4313389852","doi":"10.1002/mma.8955","title":"Complex dynamics of a discrete‐time seasonally forced SIR epidemic model","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences","topic":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","field":"Medicine","cited_by":41,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"China Postdoctoral Science Foundation","keywords":"Discretization; Mathematics; Bifurcation; Chaotic; Discrete time and continuous time; Epidemic model; Applied mathematics; Focus (optics); Statistical physics; Mathematical analysis; Nonlinear system; Computer science; Physics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002216517,0.0002599588,0.0004484718,0.0002855988,0.0003331816,0.0006889438,0.000725033,0.0008467049,0.001782153],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004937429,0.000187925,0.0005280864,0.000226268,0.0006330747,0.0006146283,0.0004972609,0.0005395411,0.0001044314],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004590263,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004932414,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007272696,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002805541,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998989,0.00003323006,0.000006281585,0.00002131875,0.00002235143,0.00001778121],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998093,0.0000657858,0.00005217443,0.00001825322,0.0000274659,0.00002702172],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006851056,0.00005482956,0.00236992,0.00004582702,0.00006690545,0.0004386693,0.0001475216,0.909183,0.008345411,0.07569645,0.0006405254,0.002942368],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005198107,0.000008646777,0.0002020054,0.000001502295,0.000005056875,0.00001823647,0.00001097817,0.9977913,0.0001018918,0.001699377,0.0001518546,0.000003914647],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6784345,0.00056549,0.3000792,0.001294957,0.0001488068,0.00005309145,0.000287359,0.0001660126,0.01897061],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9902575,0.0001703039,0.005751538,0.00005075782,0.00001709239,0.00003218478,0.00006453555,0.000008536074,0.003647408],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007272696,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01446074,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1092063678013577,"score_gpt":0.422047007839388,"score_spread":0.3128406400380302,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}