{"id":"W4316041262","doi":"10.31234/osf.io/wmycd","title":"Research Milestone Forecasting in Cystic Fibrosis","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Cystic Fibrosis Research Advances","field":"Medicine","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Milestone; Medicine; Ivacaftor; Cystic fibrosis; Family medicine; Health care; Political science; Geography; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01880107,0.0005857853,0.0004745047,0.001230593,0.001031813,0.002510165,0.0005482477,0.001419425,0.008785016],"category_scores_gemma":[0.08798227,0.0002244679,0.0004128561,0.002316645,0.001317058,0.001546462,0.001316633,0.001332112,0.0007372852],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.006580034,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006654047,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06775277,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04436932,"domain_scores_codex":[0.992342,0.005484671,0.0002698458,0.0005959502,0.0009832114,0.0003244134],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8724892,0.1131726,0.005475326,0.002066823,0.005191989,0.001604074],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003922286,0.0005790097,0.1904772,0.005079955,0.0005100412,0.0005857243,0.01369385,0.2016305,0.003273004,0.1109881,0.07672334,0.392537],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006832224,0.0007923889,0.1235204,0.002293876,0.0003211508,0.0002984911,0.01552523,0.3964158,0.005538748,0.3506263,0.1036296,0.0003546428],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6901255,0.008090385,0.1654607,0.03834361,0.0005751003,0.001326922,0.01030746,0.0007551311,0.08501539],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.965229,0.001608949,0.02795643,0.0008020689,0.0001536767,0.0003387353,0.001656782,0.0000249785,0.002229318],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06775277,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1347168,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2074946842951055,"score_gpt":0.44484962701121,"score_spread":0.2373549427161045,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}