{"id":"W4318022853","doi":"10.1016/s2589-7500(22)00237-0","title":"Are CT-based exacerbation prediction models ready for use in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease?","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"The Lancet Digital Health","topic":"Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"St. Michael's Hospital; Toronto Metropolitan University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Pulmonary disease; Exacerbation; Medicine; Disease; Internal medicine; COPD; Intensive care medicine; Radiology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004578805,0.0005795205,0.001163038,0.0004474484,0.0002360662,0.0001855751,0.0004318502,0.0002685627,0.00001845482],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003209084,0.0004726869,0.0003027083,0.0005813374,0.0003099444,0.0007412516,0.0001385636,0.001983188,0.00006622138],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00523584,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003239679,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003324194,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000107119,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9952484,0.0002383923,0.0007602236,0.001118453,0.00114042,0.001494094],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9964101,0.0009597676,0.0005997114,0.00139455,0.0002598699,0.0003760314],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003019983,0.000312361,0.03244922,0.01815123,0.0001957795,0.002087508,0.00007889304,0.00411937,0.000002153778,0.0002000905,0.9159868,0.02339664],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004260129,0.0003315562,0.6082472,0.003797447,0.0001737226,0.00007454303,0.0001597986,0.1944014,0.00000280229,0.01269204,0.1751106,0.0007487735],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04638936,0.004913127,0.0009659684,0.8691529,0.001427695,0.01616735,0.05825746,0.001191699,0.001534447],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.5053779,0.001151285,0.0002428304,0.3339678,0.03307708,0.006585214,0.09993953,0.001277043,0.01838131],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7408762,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997725,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1071941138628631,"score_gpt":0.3453928014630736,"score_spread":0.2381986876002104,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}