{"id":"W4318315250","doi":"10.55630/j.biomath.2022.12.207","title":"A model for the early COVID-19 outbreak in China with case detection and behavioural change","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BIOMATH","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Outbreak; China; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Econometrics; Virology; Demography; Psychology; Geography; Medicine; Mathematics; Internal medicine; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001884678,0.001203499,0.001566533,0.00106911,0.0006765141,0.001637433,0.003514361,0.00310367,0.01262005],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004763643,0.000582895,0.001250105,0.001001154,0.001305298,0.001243915,0.001420967,0.002049381,0.001163694],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003206654,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002790381,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.115943,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05231901,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999308,0.000223822,0.00002598709,0.0001650996,0.00005017815,0.000227001],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977326,0.001141043,0.0004479183,0.00007392298,0.0002766876,0.0003277831],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000460186,0.0002805561,0.01641764,0.0001644203,0.0001401119,0.0007359756,0.0003952681,0.9378635,0.001425668,0.03428483,0.00355662,0.004275119],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002732483,0.0001486124,0.006770001,0.00002301953,0.00006860632,0.0000657392,0.0001508315,0.9832804,0.00009481569,0.008020394,0.00105783,0.0000464684],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9038383,0.0007022058,0.06155895,0.00757504,0.0001706064,0.0003403452,0.007397734,0.0003437268,0.01807307],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9626089,0.00041577,0.003878655,0.0003404896,0.00006982074,0.0003812916,0.001921857,0.00004596926,0.03033726],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.115943,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2305362,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4743345914957994,"score_gpt":0.435220605568193,"score_spread":0.03911398592760634,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}