{"id":"W4318769221","doi":"10.1093/ej/uead017","title":"Political Risk, Populism and the Economy","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Economic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Populism; Politics; Economics; Political risk; Harm; Context (archaeology); Financial market; Financial crisis; Yield (engineering); Monetary economics; Political economy; Economy; Political science; Macroeconomics; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005496484,0.0002183686,0.0003944225,0.0008640272,0.0003944391,0.002434128,0.0001684221,0.0004897304,0.00300009],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002339891,0.0001110567,0.0002810345,0.001188153,0.001239604,0.0006569956,0.001194787,0.0008528852,0.0002570969],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008323106,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003908775,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003397733,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002201659,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997305,0.00009878541,0.00001106891,0.00003511432,0.00004877568,0.0000757071],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986508,0.0003969813,0.0007022864,0.00006216975,0.00005069629,0.0001370519],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003360617,0.0002620661,0.6724319,0.0001798696,0.0005580675,0.001618273,0.001211654,0.1252851,0.001982041,0.1593685,0.004297242,0.03246932],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000105615,0.0003091237,0.7264637,0.0002158159,0.0002238513,0.0005505661,0.002674555,0.09065895,0.001435628,0.1575091,0.01974311,0.0001101011],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9788941,0.001580837,0.001715511,0.00196374,0.00003634561,0.000010654,0.0002528199,0.00002235418,0.01552367],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991599,0.0003005711,0.00005508431,0.00003902544,0.00002009461,0.00000200823,0.00003954968,0.000002308181,0.000381387],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003397733,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01003629,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01884375429124849,"score_gpt":0.2204535253316053,"score_spread":0.2016097710403568,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}