{"id":"W4319071329","doi":"10.1371/journal.pgph.0000955","title":"Effective pandemic policy design through feedback does not need accurate predictions","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLOS Global Public Health","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"BC Children's Hospital; University of British Columbia, Okanagan Campus; University of British Columbia","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Psychological intervention; Pandemic; Public health; Control (management); Computer science; Operations research; Risk analysis (engineering); Medicine; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Engineering; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Nursing","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004298006,0.001246065,0.0009855935,0.0004629006,0.0006116078,0.002010283,0.001396573,0.001877127,0.005395174],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01686109,0.001032952,0.0007585786,0.0002689299,0.001623755,0.00375368,0.001958097,0.002947698,0.0006561464],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001616882,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003027494,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003612066,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003233903,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979488,0.0009115636,0.0001321056,0.0003870587,0.0003711767,0.0002493581],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9934886,0.004111737,0.000858939,0.0008104631,0.0004906738,0.0002396446],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000922637,0.00009305741,0.00134869,0.0001083886,0.0000387816,0.00006727047,0.0001231527,0.9583557,0.002004885,0.02415462,0.0005065732,0.01310668],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009594771,0.0002300057,0.0003939451,0.00003637762,0.00002594785,0.00002303017,0.00008291017,0.9440049,0.001356821,0.05173542,0.001984831,0.00002993392],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07308356,0.0001160583,0.9145676,0.001677198,0.00009086583,0.0004542329,0.0002764917,0.0008128108,0.008921138],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8876705,0.0001695266,0.1089368,0.0003841337,0.00004399793,0.0006367949,0.0001760689,0.00009537327,0.001886722],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.005395174,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02273029,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4205228546034319,"score_gpt":0.4761853772954547,"score_spread":0.05566252269202282,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}