{"id":"W4319071329","doi":"10.1371/journal.pgph.0000955","title":"Effective pandemic policy design through feedback does not need accurate predictions","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLOS Global Public Health","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"BC Children's Hospital; University of British Columbia, Okanagan Campus; University of British Columbia","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Psychological intervention; Pandemic; Public health; Control (management); Computer science; Operations research; Risk analysis (engineering); Medicine; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Engineering; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Nursing","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch","metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00310167,0.000384864,0.0009068113,0.0001255375,0.0006921457,0.0000934032,0.0004546104,0.0002267467,0.00004817875],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03672156,0.0002568301,0.0001856073,0.002316583,0.0002156285,0.0003457347,0.0004439578,0.0003969654,0.0003670701],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002384478,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00119268,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001971646,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003644689,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9948573,0.001541702,0.0008586174,0.0006917975,0.000539701,0.001510894],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9910473,0.007292183,0.0003941973,0.0005454809,0.000216755,0.000504053],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002616413,0.001739366,0.07293465,0.001920032,0.001754788,0.0000295221,0.006257521,0.0006772142,0.0001161685,0.4607665,0.4335674,0.01997517],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001997883,0.0009136038,0.137282,0.0002094241,0.00008799732,0.00001502747,0.001504087,0.008609146,0.00003047366,0.8164116,0.03213764,0.0008010978],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1048728,0.0003786012,0.2819429,0.5856413,0.001182485,0.008403272,0.001538395,0.009424011,0.006616267],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9714339,0.001087781,0.006179312,0.01919178,0.0008726693,0.0008280709,0.00003935175,0.00004937624,0.0003177929],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8665611,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999884,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4205228546034319,"score_gpt":0.4761853772954547,"score_spread":0.05566252269202282,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}