{"id":"W4321788742","doi":"10.5509/202396185","title":"Continuity, History, and Identity: Why Bongbong Marcos Won the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Pacific Affairs","topic":"Philippine History and Culture","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Victory; Political science; Voting; Identity (music); Presidential system; Leverage (statistics); Presidential election; Politics; Political economy; Law; Sociology; Computer science; Art","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007282694,0.0001111029,0.0001678871,0.0004820948,0.001648081,0.00152498,0.0002875611,0.0002971686,0.003338471],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00194673,0.00010919,0.00009526117,0.0008178233,0.001058121,0.0005527178,0.0007548972,0.0006739692,0.0002071506],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001284661,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001295153,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1117904,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2444359,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996358,0.0001350831,0.00001064207,0.00003953539,0.00004260246,0.0001362538],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985856,0.0002058161,0.0005230103,0.00004071284,0.000136711,0.0005081479],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004158711,0.00007182156,0.9791581,0.00001699397,0.00001716696,0.000131054,0.01165897,0.00008149881,0.0001128951,0.0009415415,0.0007866112,0.006981711],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003236034,0.00003116146,0.9530436,0.00002450965,0.000009737622,0.00003651854,0.04425813,0.0002640966,0.000067061,0.0002054269,0.002049903,0.000006667915],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9974092,0.0000905397,0.00002014125,0.0005012206,0.000004848281,0.000003257277,0.00002947975,8.270782e-7,0.001940617],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993829,0.00006499629,0.00001680967,0.0000318304,0.000003049973,0.000001984186,0.00002675256,5.831054e-7,0.0004710103],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1117904,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2222794,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01636867088278529,"score_gpt":0.2598572897410282,"score_spread":0.2434886188582429,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}