{"id":"W4322209830","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu23-14884","title":"Spatially-resolved emulations of droughts and fire weather using MESMER-X","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Climate change impacts on agriculture","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Environmental science; Climate change; Climate model; Meteorology; Climatology; Emulation; Index (typography); Computer science; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001328351,0.0005087582,0.0004497928,0.0003887522,0.0004082437,0.0005171014,0.001140817,0.0009479278,0.002705289],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004306612,0.0004081769,0.0005482903,0.0004846248,0.000461484,0.0006612032,0.0006219918,0.0008754673,0.0003302006],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007182741,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008903595,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02426489,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02665436,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998286,0.00008137482,0.000008956657,0.00003662279,0.00002131421,0.00002309876],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986854,0.0008990499,0.00008745731,0.0001427657,0.000125694,0.00005956442],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002528343,0.00001374267,0.002416802,0.0000147638,0.00002843881,0.00001737397,0.00002608905,0.9920935,0.0002045968,0.002228162,0.0005129698,0.002418354],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001166646,0.000005158116,0.0004333133,0.000002804475,0.000003434008,0.000005970033,0.00001031039,0.99773,0.0002552133,0.00111682,0.0004213422,0.000004045826],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6482925,0.0003142619,0.3366895,0.0007535302,0.0001331033,0.000107225,0.003697727,0.002484301,0.007527836],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9103761,0.0001427997,0.08244576,0.0001758607,0.00004265398,0.0001665055,0.004183865,0.0003590789,0.002107379],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02426489,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04824734,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1330688740536781,"score_gpt":0.3003361862648917,"score_spread":0.1672673122112135,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}