{"id":"W4323075393","doi":"10.31234/osf.io/7zs5t","title":"Replicating the Creativity-Order Tradeoff with More Conservative Time Series Models","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Social and Cultural Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Creativity; Collectivism; Order (exchange); Per capita; Gross domestic product; Psychology; Social psychology; Sociology; Individualism; Political science; Economics; Economic growth; Demography; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005573657,0.000242744,0.0003201769,0.00001945938,0.001233862,0.0002562412,0.0005518492,0.0002812451,0.0001389398],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002395024,0.0001369708,0.0001069521,0.0004545926,0.00103468,0.0002401784,0.0003013728,0.0005364481,0.00005679463],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000104616,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004618917,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01621659,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01188984,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981787,0.0002787111,0.0002139262,0.0004737247,0.0005097728,0.0003451352],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986362,0.0003629125,0.0002151816,0.0003672292,0.000339579,0.00007883977],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008984371,0.00009101303,0.003185139,0.00009104892,0.0005869678,0.00001943675,0.4621007,0.006462528,0.00003321284,0.5099497,0.01448097,0.002909372],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003950144,0.0001139064,0.008716318,0.0004527571,0.0003086462,0.000005338092,0.4232232,0.03076021,0.00004291504,0.5211327,0.01309197,0.001757069],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.2204087,0.0001511364,0.003459132,0.2240059,0.0004741928,0.003310646,0.0002445502,0.002244936,0.5457008],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2860675,0.0005820226,0.01007856,0.002770899,0.001180949,0.001070034,0.0002932784,0.0001401749,0.6978166],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.221235,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9903345,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07822824332141683,"score_gpt":0.3306103172201293,"score_spread":0.2523820738987125,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}