{"id":"W4323783430","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4249464","title":"Sectoral Uncertainty","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002248501,0.0001702316,0.0004063725,0.0005151771,0.0002892425,0.00009644617,0.0003642478,0.0001123611,0.0002646126],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00010045,0.0001929814,0.0003268738,0.0006022223,0.00004384327,0.0002345209,0.00004286269,0.001021741,0.004680473],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000856428,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004414493,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009846912,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002155069,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99672,0.00002323563,0.0006121592,0.0003015151,0.00003644796,0.002306674],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992347,0.00004331745,0.0003453112,0.0002481845,0.00002551004,0.0001029113],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000122126,0.00002107483,0.02491817,0.000004164072,0.0001958399,0.00000362117,0.0001818669,0.0008168749,0.000008198457,0.9693515,0.001821333,0.002665088],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004945974,0.00008910392,0.007372462,0.000004341146,0.0000133012,0.00005141403,0.0003021316,0.001777225,0.000008573503,0.9078071,0.08179623,0.0002835823],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.962828,0.004021822,0.002733173,0.003301264,0.0008895045,0.0001106139,0.00008190398,0.0001442392,0.02588945],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9809456,0.005608229,0.00001889182,0.0002843098,0.0008452805,0.00000716393,0.00001936277,0.00003314243,0.01223805],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0799749,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9960945,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02398736328815503,"score_gpt":0.2343378619593261,"score_spread":0.210350498671171,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}