{"id":"W4361210534","doi":"10.1016/j.ttbdis.2023.102161","title":"Mechanistic movement models to predict geographic range expansions of ticks and tick-borne pathogens: Case studies with Ixodes scapularis and Amblyomma americanum in eastern North America","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ticks and Tick-borne Diseases","topic":"Vector-borne infectious diseases","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":33,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université Laval; Université de Montréal; Public Health Agency of Canada","funders":"Simon Fraser University; Public Health Agency; Compute Canada; Public Health Agency of Canada","keywords":"Ixodes scapularis; Amblyomma americanum; Tick; Biological dispersal; Biology; Ecology; Range (aeronautics); Population; Ixodidae; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001200274,0.0008420211,0.0006358642,0.0009801432,0.0006629387,0.001040149,0.001356757,0.001690074,0.001437734],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003059913,0.0007276866,0.001100011,0.0007383336,0.000629878,0.0008285693,0.0008760272,0.0008298169,0.00009718136],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001688474,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001192398,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.09642049,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0745783,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997824,0.0001058545,0.00001206192,0.00004298398,0.000012191,0.00004463046],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982508,0.0012291,0.0002523531,0.00005290804,0.000131598,0.00008316153],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001533068,0.00004123547,0.004996028,0.000008912288,0.00002290447,0.00004821541,0.0000296325,0.9935596,0.00008841132,0.0004845111,0.00005209561,0.0006530703],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007442899,0.00001708503,0.001222591,0.00000259334,0.000008281004,0.000008200575,0.00002911154,0.9984186,0.00001509868,0.0002078733,0.00005991541,0.000003257614],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9816499,0.0001779877,0.01549568,0.0002788071,0.00001556962,0.0000893308,0.0003413924,0.00007717589,0.001874265],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9941003,0.0001331751,0.004811383,0.00002691644,0.000005760929,0.00007988222,0.0001924408,0.000009332024,0.0006407298],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09642049,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1917185,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01801505219348748,"score_gpt":0.2473745785603423,"score_spread":0.2293595263668548,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}