{"id":"W4361764849","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4393423","title":"Reversal of Fortunes: Rising Interest Rates and Losses at the Bank of Canada","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Balance sheet; Interest rate; Official cash rate; Bank rate; Revenue; Economics; Finance; Business; National bank; Chinese financial system; Financial system; Monetary policy; Settlement (finance); Monetary economics; Central bank; China; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001680288,0.0002403418,0.0004361356,0.00123735,0.01009955,0.01369053,0.001551498,0.004873637,0.01001635],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008945853,0.0003753157,0.0003993906,0.001821555,0.004568444,0.002021167,0.001797231,0.005850954,0.0004023721],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.1311188,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.16021,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9937972,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9960128,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971396,0.0001861126,0.00005919021,0.0001878815,0.0007404788,0.001686883],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9951128,0.0006367206,0.0004800232,0.00009229445,0.002035565,0.001642551],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000682483,0.0001265881,0.123124,0.0001731398,0.0001762888,0.001946432,0.02244987,0.005155163,0.001143097,0.5510305,0.2492856,0.04470688],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001583754,0.00009602778,0.4409797,0.0004326295,0.0002958976,0.0004013425,0.07256279,0.008805421,0.002006375,0.06247915,0.4113236,0.0004586178],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.627839,0.004872196,0.0003795981,0.2009768,0.0004739084,0.00003755868,0.001323997,0.00007011533,0.1640267],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9594813,0.001070394,0.000111819,0.003477609,0.0000652961,0.00000602534,0.0001116315,0.00002774597,0.03564804],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1311188,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9513379,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01777139291167192,"score_gpt":0.2780696238023552,"score_spread":0.2602982308906833,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}