{"id":"W4362712095","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4399597","title":"What Should be Done After the Earthquake in Turkey 2023? Assessment of Seismic Hazard in Regions with the New Earthquake Model","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Earthquake Detection and Analysis","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Earthquake scenario; Seismology; Seismic hazard; Urban seismic risk; Geology; Seismic microzonation; Mitigation of seismic motion; Environmental Seismic Intensity scale; Earthquake prediction; Foreshock; Aftershock","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001210327,0.000408145,0.0003402889,0.0005572261,0.0002066769,0.0009813617,0.0005927091,0.000667581,0.001222982],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003510099,0.0001721528,0.0004854979,0.0006020745,0.0002402117,0.001095256,0.0004671078,0.0004720951,0.000245192],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001724721,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002198033,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04966048,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0529994,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995664,0.0001453893,0.00003815248,0.00007383114,0.00006490402,0.0001113221],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986976,0.0003247276,0.0003682981,0.0000670502,0.0003780236,0.0001641797],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001435551,0.0002957199,0.7929043,0.0002663009,0.0003992897,0.000967013,0.0005259073,0.141959,0.000944302,0.003273086,0.005274259,0.05175527],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007381687,0.0005786208,0.7482789,0.0001190469,0.0003076712,0.0003399226,0.004899709,0.2376641,0.0007256638,0.003437667,0.003499802,0.00007507176],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9908476,0.0004261726,0.001678529,0.002105758,0.00004879948,0.00003137421,0.001944493,0.00004232791,0.002874928],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985017,0.0001228398,0.0004326653,0.00003463448,0.000005948758,0.000007495835,0.0007190331,0.000003512664,0.0001722187],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04966048,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09874284,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01855444013494968,"score_gpt":0.2517220847050821,"score_spread":0.2331676445701324,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}