{"id":"W4366257339","doi":"10.24149/wp2302","title":"State-Dependent Local Projections","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University; Simon Fraser University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Government of Canada; Emory University","keywords":"Shock (circulatory); Econometrics; Projection (relational algebra); Population; Estimator; State (computer science); Economics; State dependent; Infinitesimal; Keynesian economics; Mathematics; Statistics; Mathematical analysis","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007071623,0.0002145026,0.000470435,0.0003879523,0.0002568815,0.0001092781,0.0003508395,0.0001231873,0.0008134675],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001385484,0.0002465776,0.0002222663,0.0004206033,0.0001016999,0.0001526286,0.0001409734,0.0002389391,0.001170001],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001675224,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003462949,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003442788,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001167548,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979991,0.00003023386,0.0007801016,0.0004794489,0.00007348001,0.000637648],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989741,0.0001177311,0.0003288909,0.0004272346,0.00001081434,0.000141191],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000558381,0.0003576965,0.7164745,0.0003484208,0.001183019,0.00008386897,0.003878478,0.1602937,0.000447227,0.04380018,0.04702993,0.02554464],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004203318,0.0008081276,0.3799706,0.0003176947,0.00003081589,0.00003326463,0.001424453,0.05835171,0.001143744,0.0410342,0.5105665,0.002115653],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8484591,0.0004875828,0.0001999983,0.001590645,0.0008755803,0.0003417926,0.0001919496,0.0001985133,0.1476549],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.987426,0.0003123439,0.0001408814,0.000200508,0.000148033,0.00002838007,0.0000531234,0.00004358224,0.01164709],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4635365,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999986,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09081800407567382,"score_gpt":0.2537878032960902,"score_spread":0.1629697992204164,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}