{"id":"W4366368792","doi":"10.1007/s00382-023-06789-5","title":"Impact of the winter Arctic sea ice anomaly on the following summer tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate Dynamics","topic":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":40,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Climatology; Tropical cyclogenesis; Anticyclone; Atmospheric circulation; Sea surface temperature; Tropical cyclone; Anomaly (physics); Environmental science; Geology; Wind shear; Oceanography; Atmospheric sciences; Cyclone (programming language); Wind speed","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001747364,0.0002166251,0.0002406792,0.00005380775,0.0004414371,0.0001173121,0.0007927614,0.00008702107,0.0004154024],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001149727,0.00008653154,0.0004680901,0.0007421016,0.0002940524,0.0001102276,0.00009453678,0.0004427603,0.0003818536],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003418015,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004657099,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004382973,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02182461,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978195,0.0003000956,0.0003175827,0.0003065655,0.0005701383,0.0006861121],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983788,0.0007631295,0.00008394109,0.0006074756,0.00004072706,0.0001259521],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005913049,0.00002701758,0.9972914,0.00002194598,0.0000687452,0.00001867117,0.00008616825,0.0007387873,0.00001860367,0.0001628283,0.0001271025,0.001379569],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001626692,0.0001841829,0.9826438,0.00002385003,0.0000308942,0.000004842095,0.00009507613,0.01639662,0.000001724993,0.0002536157,0.00008249294,0.0001202211],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9961367,0.00006805926,0.00001481493,0.002127246,0.0003042126,0.0002730567,0.0003561981,0.00004172914,0.0006779704],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993464,0.0001322079,0.00001098953,0.0001849469,0.0001088437,0.000005176776,0.00008184204,0.00001160038,0.000118042],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01744164,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9960245,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02429007890391132,"score_gpt":0.2678322455502879,"score_spread":0.2435421666463766,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}