{"id":"W4366809706","doi":"10.1353/rss.2014.0013","title":"Accidental Nuclear War and Russell’s “Early Warning”","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Russell the Journal of Bertrand Russell Studies","topic":"Nuclear Issues and Defense","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nuclear weapon; Accidental; Fanaticism; Nuclear terrorism; Terrorism; Law; Accident (philosophy); History; Political science; Physics; Politics; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00204392,0.0007637441,0.0005056802,0.001636026,0.001503563,0.005066345,0.001166804,0.003931734,0.02155718],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008442373,0.0005064797,0.0004897733,0.001299179,0.003492754,0.004758024,0.001531594,0.006103795,0.01092825],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003625494,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002926443,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008210936,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009585969,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970413,0.001020933,0.0001594699,0.0002908322,0.001300774,0.0001866408],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9966323,0.001824851,0.0002211855,0.0001556822,0.0009236078,0.0002423273],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000007738266,0.000004551457,0.00002977048,0.0001968062,0.000002488846,0.00005262337,0.0003309952,0.00005798957,0.00005253281,0.02782356,0.9351583,0.0362827],"study_design_scores_gemma":[9.283835e-7,0.00000452027,0.0000707545,0.0002755633,0.000001337377,0.00008946614,0.0001267789,0.00001396386,0.00003242518,0.002675909,0.9967031,0.000005304033],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0009017043,0.5132527,0.001928604,0.1761121,0.03839749,0.00002437228,0.0002120369,0.000357619,0.2688134],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.04327868,0.3482143,0.00219701,0.05902184,0.02351254,0.00004060192,0.0002813729,0.0004543552,0.5229993],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02155718,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07211596,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02025673525182342,"score_gpt":0.2888592646337323,"score_spread":0.2686025293819089,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}