{"id":"W4367845296","doi":"10.9734/bpi/ctbef/v5/5653e","title":"If You Can’t Measure it You Can’t Manage it - Quantitative Analysis of Cyber Risk Prediction and Mitigation","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"Information and Cyber Security","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Risk management; Data breach; Computer security; Risk analysis (engineering); Computer science; Government (linguistics); Cyber-attack; Vulnerability (computing); Dependency (UML); Actuarial science; Business; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001287734,0.001002044,0.0005452008,0.001305368,0.0005526823,0.004650172,0.001180207,0.001421248,0.01455644],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003616675,0.0005156668,0.0007776208,0.001640103,0.002108232,0.008318807,0.001119747,0.003486591,0.006556067],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001748911,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0012208,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002645159,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002607077,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999401,0.0001204191,0.00002172072,0.0001172622,0.0003060427,0.00003359079],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981616,0.001009637,0.0001751298,0.0002226306,0.0003490657,0.00008188694],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004974064,0.0001139804,0.006049704,0.0005306624,0.0001075198,0.0002059264,0.0007282375,0.03660906,0.002024698,0.4954304,0.1652137,0.2929364],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000906612,0.0001247441,0.00424421,0.0006662192,0.00005083982,0.0005257431,0.0007048108,0.1023336,0.002082964,0.522507,0.3666589,0.00009183015],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02053525,0.03865151,0.5300303,0.05231365,0.004915835,0.0001878052,0.002027809,0.002397054,0.3489408],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3161342,0.0425995,0.1501821,0.00704888,0.002501534,0.0002899911,0.001775381,0.001731406,0.4777371],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01455644,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04869616,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02164297603893119,"score_gpt":0.2397510558354894,"score_spread":0.2181080797965582,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}