{"id":"W4377047179","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0285979","title":"An external validation of the QCOVID3 risk prediction algorithm for risk of hospitalisation and death from COVID-19: An observational, prospective cohort study of 1.66m vaccinated adults in Wales, UK","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLoS ONE","topic":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Health Data Research UK; Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust; Health and Social Care Research and Development Division; Public Health Agency; Department of Health and Social Care; Medical Research Council; Cardiff University; Wales Institute of Social and Economic Research and Data; University of Oxford; Queen's University; Economic and Social Research Council; Swansea University; University of Leicester; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Queen's University Belfast; Wellcome Trust; University College London; Cancer Research UK; Llywodraeth Cymru; British Heart Foundation; Chief Scientist Office, Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorate; Scottish Government; Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council; UK Research and Innovation; Health and Care Research Wales; Public Health Wales","keywords":"Observational study; Medicine; Population; Pandemic; Cohort study; Vaccination; Cohort; Algorithm; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Environmental health; Virology; Internal medicine; Computer science; Disease","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01027414,0.0004651765,0.0005849166,0.0006533322,0.0006379925,0.000958995,0.0009472042,0.0006939287,0.001495352],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03057797,0.000444499,0.000952214,0.0006897203,0.0005862804,0.0005580332,0.001536143,0.001058125,0.0006575311],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00114447,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001923603,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02541498,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02349112,"domain_scores_codex":[0.995464,0.001940226,0.0005175608,0.0008208654,0.0009362596,0.0003211145],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9832445,0.004515259,0.00374516,0.00289634,0.00474468,0.0008540034],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000926097,0.0003321846,0.9923782,0.00008513926,0.0001019013,0.0001104748,0.0007695034,0.0002687987,0.0003067056,0.00005215121,0.0007826794,0.003886108],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001924379,0.001469925,0.9939214,0.0001197401,0.0000754799,0.0002953075,0.0006071702,0.001706873,0.0002163176,0.00003835315,0.001335656,0.00002135041],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9972144,0.00008336567,0.0007023013,0.00005137822,0.00002006361,0.0003092714,0.001293047,0.000007105265,0.0003190726],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9939899,0.00007245671,0.001505733,0.000108507,0.00002318945,0.0004673967,0.003362654,0.00001203422,0.000458077],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02541498,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05433553,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09165849455019759,"score_gpt":0.3457620316645589,"score_spread":0.2541035371143613,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}