{"id":"W4378874157","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4464511","title":"Shipping Alliances and Market Volatility Under an Unexpected Shock","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Maritime Ports and Logistics","field":"Engineering","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Volatility (finance); Business; Shock (circulatory); Financial economics; Monetary economics; Economics; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008177824,0.0001257472,0.0001367127,0.00007587063,0.0001342236,0.00007961969,0.0001121775,0.00006545499,0.0001636576],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003127296,0.0001170455,0.00003286279,0.0001880027,0.00003327523,0.0001590962,0.00002010733,0.0008603363,0.000006851011],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000223314,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000168436,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002981034,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008463074,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982725,0.00003690559,0.0001956725,0.0001316239,0.0001369447,0.001226339],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996846,0.00004374604,0.00002964003,0.0001155353,0.00002945351,0.00009699577],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002982656,0.0002631018,0.1560681,0.0005226156,0.002356899,0.0002339664,0.002468646,0.0562135,0.004609974,0.2848032,0.01759302,0.4745687],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007143301,0.0002312634,0.1074489,0.00005005352,0.00006786609,0.0003941459,0.003367912,0.4968927,0.00005611916,0.3834299,0.006708713,0.0006380951],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9608482,0.003921533,0.02560598,0.0003160072,0.0004085419,0.0001165682,0.000007189164,0.0005695411,0.008206481],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946591,0.003796067,0.00008439594,0.00002218957,0.0001979274,0.000002252522,0.000007689667,0.00002523255,0.001205124],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4739306,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4772978,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01375077409795259,"score_gpt":0.2338802112530955,"score_spread":0.2201294371551429,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}