{"id":"W4378879426","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4456241","title":"A Second Wave? What Do People Mean By COVID Waves? – A Working Definition of Epidemic Waves","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Trinity College","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Geography; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008963948,0.0008991971,0.001446827,0.003584828,0.003420571,0.008550093,0.002230771,0.005261099,0.007681844],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03079234,0.0005985304,0.001677002,0.004548911,0.01386332,0.02479919,0.004893301,0.007937949,0.001076083],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002225052,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001556107,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002723595,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001358965,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9949963,0.002354179,0.0004451398,0.0009029044,0.0006543025,0.000647127],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9816004,0.01070753,0.002883151,0.002296665,0.00160354,0.0009086477],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001914314,0.0000184086,0.003127262,0.00006207231,0.00002193889,0.00004557912,0.003213914,0.0003033033,0.00008312541,0.9813352,0.003767058,0.00800304],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001225806,0.00002529209,0.002020477,0.0002038417,0.00002307488,0.00025457,0.002467177,0.001688778,0.0000797707,0.9767452,0.01644695,0.00003267243],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.1313653,0.02260766,0.5050364,0.1920885,0.004311749,0.0003274481,0.001421859,0.0003062182,0.1425349],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8991018,0.01163679,0.05474899,0.01456975,0.00391081,0.0007916053,0.0006465292,0.0002210993,0.0143726],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.008963948,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04740644,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1417289178679466,"score_gpt":0.360656639511072,"score_spread":0.2189277216431254,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}