{"id":"W4379054741","doi":"10.3847/1538-4357/acb93a","title":"Modeling the 2022 τ-Herculid Outburst","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Astrophysical Journal","topic":"Astro and Planetary Science","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Rio Tinto (Canada); Espace pour la vie; Western University","funders":"Nuclear Safety and Security Commission; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canada Research Chairs; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Physics; Astronomy; Astrophysics; Astrobiology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003700917,0.0001229064,0.0001171883,0.00002379065,0.0008246669,0.0001692951,0.0006724055,0.00001196577,0.0003072682],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000004784572,0.00005848636,0.000150056,0.0003251196,0.0001057356,0.0001521306,0.00009747794,0.0006322287,0.0008688637],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000008373068,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005090317,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005583579,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":7.579382e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988328,0.0001097868,0.0001704915,0.0001301734,0.0003641341,0.0003926153],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994544,0.00009708149,0.00006066833,0.0002473548,0.00003607556,0.0001043986],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000702887,0.0001070741,0.006807777,0.000002286754,0.0002141136,0.00003182529,0.001935119,0.8042299,0.02132572,0.02376455,0.01619038,0.125321],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004254844,0.0001356287,0.02535344,0.00002181017,0.00006859685,0.00003687228,0.00387681,0.9499832,0.0001358141,0.01643729,0.003247776,0.0002772989],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9352325,0.00001860336,0.06004369,0.003125348,0.0003934691,0.0000807472,0.00001807592,0.00003037082,0.001057245],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970987,0.000003682148,0.0002167793,0.00009547557,0.001965748,0.000003494112,0.00001067268,0.000009215395,0.0005962649],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1457533,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999091,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01715763699724226,"score_gpt":0.2333861614228106,"score_spread":0.2162285244255683,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}