{"id":"W4380087592","doi":"10.1175/jcli-d-22-0628.1","title":"Disentangling Dynamic from Thermodynamic Summer Ice Area Loss from Observations (1979–2021): A Potential Mechanism for a “First-Time” Ice-Free Arctic","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Climate","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Marine Environmental Observation Prediction and Response Network; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Sea ice; Drift ice; Arctic ice pack; Geology; Climatology; Ice-albedo feedback; Sea ice thickness; Antarctic sea ice; Arctic; Oceanography; Environmental science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001192578,0.0004114359,0.0004317474,0.0005178931,0.0003725084,0.00105336,0.0004696771,0.0003654513,0.0007474476],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001535006,0.0002522704,0.0007081928,0.0005605299,0.0003792866,0.0007247712,0.0005275194,0.0003483026,0.0001902564],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006162696,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005308102,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01761071,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02428294,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997653,0.00006641162,0.00001632576,0.00006597025,0.00003848539,0.00004749557],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992957,0.0002379283,0.0001789801,0.0000856239,0.0001048143,0.00009700941],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003892604,0.00008950659,0.9614011,0.00003236775,0.0002841634,0.00009258364,0.000123566,0.0223936,0.005466398,0.0007858269,0.0003827049,0.008559044],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001719541,0.00007355719,0.8790624,0.00001469643,0.00006471829,0.00005229863,0.0001447138,0.1176258,0.001693489,0.0006636482,0.000570914,0.0000165674],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9970432,0.00007992967,0.001644663,0.0001205535,0.000008608578,0.000005705975,0.0003921974,0.00002066844,0.0006845408],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9987326,0.00002322267,0.0004248022,0.00001868526,0.000008849244,0.000004116423,0.0006571969,0.00001063147,0.0001199304],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01761071,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03501636,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01938573740283626,"score_gpt":0.2325912276301627,"score_spread":0.2132054902273265,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}