{"id":"W4381308064","doi":"10.1161/circheartfailure.122.010312","title":"Predicting 1-Year Mortality in Outpatients With Heart Failure With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction: Do Empiric Models Outperform Physician Intuitive Estimates? A Multicenter Cohort Study","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Circulation Heart Failure","topic":"Heart Failure Treatment and Management","field":"Medicine","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University; Nova Scotia Health Authority; Sunnybrook Health Science Centre; St. Michael's Hospital; St. Boniface Hospital; McMaster University; Canadian Heart Research Centre; Southlake Regional Health Center; Providence Health Care; Mount Sinai Hospital; Hamilton Health Sciences; Public Health Ontario; Ted Rogers Centre for Heart Research","funders":"Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada","keywords":"Ejection fraction; Medicine; Cardiology; Internal medicine; Cohort; Heart failure; Cohort study; Emergency medicine; Intensive care medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004936313,0.0004383919,0.0006899568,0.0007706649,0.0003016075,0.0001085722,0.00007046647,0.0001580918,0.00007924024],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005018475,0.0003577145,0.0001270463,0.001686181,0.00006247819,0.0008017243,0.00005834106,0.000452856,0.0001616788],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004519556,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001063263,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004144329,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004802536,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9967956,0.0001428895,0.000550403,0.0009053289,0.001029641,0.0005761261],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986048,0.00006518597,0.0001825943,0.0006035695,0.0003325907,0.0002112243],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002503491,0.0008889484,0.9856226,0.0001078631,0.0004053726,0.00007574559,0.0009021049,0.01025067,0.0001625409,0.000008044389,0.001264646,0.00006112963],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005015263,0.00081322,0.9586765,0.0004457087,0.0005129962,0.00002621029,0.005766465,0.02724469,0.000169008,0.0000311598,0.0009513051,0.0003475276],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9917052,0.000008938553,0.0004931811,0.001904978,0.0001183621,0.005145699,0.00001012518,0.00041717,0.0001963649],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9969906,0.00000274563,0.001755854,0.0001710605,0.0001674031,0.000432102,0.0003540684,0.00007596266,0.00005021383],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02694613,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998875,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02387715951417386,"score_gpt":0.2935439308544956,"score_spread":0.2696667713403218,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}