{"id":"W4381569839","doi":"10.1038/s41612-023-00379-2","title":"Recent increase in the potential threat of western North Pacific tropical cyclones","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","topic":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Northern British Columbia","funders":"National Natural Science Foundation of China-Yunnan Joint Fund; Hohai University; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Tropical cyclone; Climatology; Environmental science; Global warming; Geography; Oceanography; Climate change; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000338835,0.0002026806,0.00009166945,0.0005865152,0.0002036933,0.0005532717,0.0001339711,0.0002400869,0.000982694],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001785922,0.00007643405,0.0001175787,0.0006883129,0.0002987375,0.0005328958,0.0003834142,0.0004263217,0.00008804068],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004429201,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001997512,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01385913,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01682019,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998966,0.00001660684,0.000008073846,0.00003116243,0.00003202259,0.00001545553],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99892,0.0001755129,0.0004296938,0.00004784886,0.0003026103,0.0001244238],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000117603,0.0000248707,0.9155823,0.0002507426,0.0001434729,0.0005578167,0.0005135494,0.0161605,0.003931369,0.001788094,0.003655773,0.05727396],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003179263,0.00003641758,0.9790157,0.00004144349,0.00004332262,0.0002477352,0.0004896399,0.01389732,0.0005540733,0.000425968,0.005234761,0.00001048112],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9897341,0.001645046,0.001587834,0.0008083702,0.00005247291,0.00000862104,0.0009154214,0.00003053871,0.005217496],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983742,0.0006916201,0.0003118636,0.00003313203,0.00005057545,0.000001953098,0.0003238464,0.000002762212,0.0002100076],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01385913,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0275569,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01898241901871765,"score_gpt":0.2530251325568357,"score_spread":0.234042713538118,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}