{"id":"W4382311648","doi":"10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899","title":"SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Marine Science","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":30,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province; Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici; Princeton University; Met Office; Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS; National Natural Science Foundation of China; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; Norges Forskningsråd; Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government","keywords":"Sea ice; Antarctic sea ice; Oceanography; Climatology; Arctic ice pack; Cryosphere; Context (archaeology); Circumpolar star; Arctic; Arctic sea ice decline; Geology; Environmental science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008332154,0.0001110571,0.0001871036,0.000416851,0.0001959308,0.00003669441,0.0005297859,0.00004773412,0.0003367006],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003132041,0.0001102891,0.00004765781,0.002996394,0.0008916326,0.0003723699,0.0001222358,0.0002060201,0.00007866276],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002446656,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002643175,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009539483,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001358945,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983338,0.00004151098,0.0002396476,0.0003566361,0.0005265102,0.0005019109],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993585,0.0001022177,0.00008764274,0.0002262134,0.00007434833,0.0001510666],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002359631,0.00001214857,0.9698679,0.00001587921,0.000006939355,0.00001972953,0.00038407,0.005806031,0.00001387055,0.00004048592,0.0007562104,0.02305317],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001987064,0.0000563328,0.8248181,0.00001664248,0.000009043829,0.000007100117,0.000998965,0.1723509,0.000008711608,0.001137471,0.0002903054,0.0001076753],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9933317,0.000008827947,0.001273534,0.0002331384,0.001445563,0.0001446899,0.0001122094,0.00007802561,0.003372338],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9872984,0.00004592646,0.01188883,0.00006372152,0.00004570316,0.000001233404,0.00008747887,0.000003906892,0.0005648443],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1665449,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.449746,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007654903993595276,"score_gpt":0.2057370100072959,"score_spread":0.1980821060137006,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}