{"id":"W4382311648","doi":"10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899","title":"SIPN South: six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Marine Science","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":30,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province; Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici; Princeton University; Met Office; Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS; National Natural Science Foundation of China; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; Norges Forskningsråd; Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government","keywords":"Sea ice; Antarctic sea ice; Oceanography; Climatology; Arctic ice pack; Cryosphere; Context (archaeology); Circumpolar star; Arctic; Arctic sea ice decline; Geology; Environmental science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001921843,0.0009679128,0.0007172864,0.000656214,0.0007029517,0.0009440252,0.0008698811,0.0005260053,0.001801901],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002138658,0.0003618941,0.0005535588,0.0008634955,0.0003765696,0.0008651983,0.001837793,0.0008987829,0.0007406944],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005627405,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00159486,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04145034,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05364241,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994299,0.00009601939,0.00003882506,0.0001666664,0.0001876227,0.00008097503],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998823,0.0001474417,0.0001184088,0.0002150011,0.0004034714,0.000292707],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002966584,0.001176007,0.4652264,0.0003418005,0.0008475812,0.0007907116,0.000895044,0.2967313,0.009292562,0.001743586,0.1082142,0.1117743],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006093792,0.0009305935,0.3204648,0.00009658363,0.0002643449,0.0001412469,0.001226495,0.6205322,0.009031388,0.002310168,0.04421719,0.0001757576],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9383568,0.0004483468,0.007139332,0.000928366,0.0005118013,0.0002079514,0.04169373,0.002913905,0.007799719],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8607784,0.0002174659,0.01754693,0.000221948,0.0001559912,0.0002257971,0.1188929,0.0003012525,0.001659389],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04145034,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08241814,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007654903993595276,"score_gpt":0.2057370100072959,"score_spread":0.1980821060137006,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}