{"id":"W4384345831","doi":"10.14430/arctic77263","title":"Performance of Climate Projections for Yukon and Adjacent Northwest Territories, 1991 – 2020","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"ARCTIC","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Natural Resources Canada; Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada; Transport Canada; Aurora Research Institute","keywords":"Permafrost; Climate change; Environmental science; Precipitation; Arctic; Climatology; Air temperature; Mean radiant temperature; Global warming; Physical geography; Climate model; Geography; Geology; Meteorology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001117894,0.00006568919,0.00009241891,0.00004494104,0.000147017,0.00001659401,0.0000508689,0.00002629413,0.000191929],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001507716,0.00005488995,0.00002499533,0.0002070062,0.00004340647,0.0001085629,0.00001077431,0.00003926228,0.00003531492],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000002336993,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000109149,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02188666,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1704702,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994654,0.000009229093,0.0001158202,0.0001279641,0.00007736989,0.0002042215],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997078,0.00009517653,0.00003744224,0.00008431311,0.00002632068,0.00004890207],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003090791,0.000005786338,0.9943113,0.0001979511,0.000005441943,0.00000118513,0.0003680554,0.00006321512,0.00004011969,0.000004477908,0.0001518105,0.004819698],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001582395,0.0002199823,0.9754844,0.00003454379,0.00001442361,0.000009447192,0.000172141,0.01323719,0.00003193134,0.00002025784,0.01054408,0.00007334672],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9954419,0.0001290567,1.545601e-7,0.0002618443,0.0003998295,0.0001954243,0.00327747,0.00002978375,0.0002645228],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9919516,0.002909402,0.00004182057,0.0000454029,0.0001631333,0.000006661915,0.004812997,0.000003078834,0.00006592146],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1485835,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9846267,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02956733375510466,"score_gpt":0.244289888239801,"score_spread":0.2147225544846963,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}