{"id":"W4384345831","doi":"10.14430/arctic77263","title":"Performance of Climate Projections for Yukon and Adjacent Northwest Territories, 1991 – 2020","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"ARCTIC","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Natural Resources Canada; Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada; Transport Canada; Aurora Research Institute","keywords":"Permafrost; Climate change; Environmental science; Precipitation; Arctic; Climatology; Air temperature; Mean radiant temperature; Global warming; Physical geography; Climate model; Geography; Geology; Meteorology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009428244,0.0004812094,0.000257467,0.0003991602,0.0004798376,0.001184231,0.0005244209,0.0004531803,0.001037842],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001308391,0.0002318384,0.00061981,0.001248256,0.0002442896,0.0005887718,0.000528029,0.0002554542,0.0002990515],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005464439,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004273754,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7100908,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7418563,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996741,0.00006910013,0.00002971769,0.00008008877,0.0000756223,0.00007144436],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993693,0.00005309665,0.00007792296,0.00004935045,0.0003756912,0.00007459546],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000748665,0.00006338473,0.589892,0.0001723622,0.0004171688,0.0003784711,0.0002603068,0.377901,0.001301015,0.00131084,0.01087574,0.01667904],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001034011,0.0001231595,0.794025,0.00006209507,0.0001423364,0.0001424417,0.001074808,0.1893115,0.001829669,0.000533335,0.01256573,0.00008641313],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.956022,0.0004522804,0.0008961901,0.0005193729,0.00004311672,0.00003469366,0.03304804,0.0002795263,0.008704852],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9758691,0.0001979621,0.0007446011,0.00004180326,0.000003092618,0.00001514869,0.02217879,0.00001788906,0.0009315648],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2899092,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5832331,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02956733375510466,"score_gpt":0.244289888239801,"score_spread":0.2147225544846963,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}