{"id":"W4384469414","doi":"10.54097/hbem.v15i.9461","title":"Analysis of the Jet Fuel Price Risk Exposure and Optimal Hedging in the Airline Industry","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Highlights in Business Economics and Management","topic":"Risk Management in Financial Firms","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Jet fuel; Volatility (finance); Revenue; Spot market; Business; Risk management; Spot contract; Price fluctuation; Industrial organization; Petroleum industry; Economics; Finance; Financial economics; Environmental science; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009649442,0.000417541,0.0005108933,0.0008276145,0.0002936017,0.001765665,0.0003579468,0.0006906987,0.00197331],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003089234,0.0001987612,0.0006153408,0.0004801757,0.0006556698,0.001125019,0.0006215204,0.0007755924,0.00006947332],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009006415,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006576693,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003308685,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001675304,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996675,0.00009549086,0.00002141694,0.0000556716,0.00008601585,0.00007380587],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985455,0.000951384,0.0002460335,0.00004123067,0.000131539,0.00008434922],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004888372,0.0003644276,0.06759371,0.0003592044,0.000276195,0.002360906,0.000665575,0.7313156,0.009240683,0.1456429,0.00117764,0.04051432],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001520687,0.0003537644,0.04596451,0.00005832981,0.0001214476,0.0002911377,0.0006689315,0.9037315,0.001807911,0.04603992,0.0008828832,0.00006452631],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9416106,0.001654575,0.04550559,0.0005075663,0.00002938057,0.00004356743,0.00009709835,0.00002991177,0.01052159],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9982117,0.0002482179,0.0007616837,0.000007520405,0.00001233226,0.00000425749,0.00001693958,0.000002302382,0.0007350522],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003308685,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.006601334,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0122501583844758,"score_gpt":0.2028237664568947,"score_spread":0.1905736080724189,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}