{"id":"W4384626449","doi":"10.1111/1471-0528.17528","title":"We can predict, but validation and implementation remain a challenge","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BJOG An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology","topic":"Advanced Causal Inference Techniques","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"BC Children's Hospital; University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Political science; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.2065488,0.001815397,0.002990912,0.003181119,0.003811473,0.01212167,0.008165817,0.01482088,0.02582707],"category_scores_gemma":[0.5167201,0.001271991,0.002958989,0.002054841,0.02927474,0.04092732,0.01125008,0.04726524,0.01400526],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.008358853,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02346655,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01759957,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01260123,"domain_scores_codex":[0.8838146,0.07574621,0.006154769,0.01114452,0.02013064,0.003009302],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.4810422,0.4058769,0.008350579,0.04051631,0.05791767,0.006296237],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001391141,0.00008720003,0.001546753,0.001175412,0.0002564695,0.00009055961,0.001634676,0.001419159,0.0002140624,0.4233237,0.4732961,0.09681674],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007458925,0.00005456884,0.0006147596,0.004638243,0.00008748397,0.00009317648,0.001416413,0.00232897,0.0003949378,0.66832,0.3218673,0.00010957],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0002980699,0.009524032,0.02295867,0.9508101,0.00976297,0.00005147886,0.0002951037,0.0002330799,0.006066534],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.06469651,0.03382386,0.1331078,0.7168874,0.03317212,0.001148152,0.001532995,0.002158751,0.01347252],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.2065488,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9784666,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1262844607678207,"score_gpt":0.4332386533813593,"score_spread":0.3069541926135386,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}