{"id":"W4386423656","doi":"10.1038/s41558-023-01780-8","title":"Three institutional pathways to envision the future of the IPCC","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":41,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Kwantlen Polytechnic University","funders":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; National Institute for Environmental Studies; University of Cambridge","keywords":"Politics; Political science; Climate change; Environmental planning; Environmental resource management; Engineering ethics; Environmental science; Engineering; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007887523,0.0001794548,0.0002922253,0.0001990243,0.0003705945,0.0000440154,0.0006286465,0.0003173327,0.0002291234],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00009683168,0.0001249098,0.0002003688,0.0007058341,0.00008952967,0.0001528845,0.0004458027,0.0004433834,0.001194149],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000961931,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001126931,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000519384,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0005398733,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987271,0.00001230361,0.000416563,0.000343888,0.00006423781,0.0004358895],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989553,0.00008883132,0.0002520011,0.000601253,0.00003031608,0.00007228203],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003119784,0.00004234127,0.0185908,0.00009477229,0.00002508659,0.000002736759,0.003032912,0.00004109947,0.00006740462,0.9634537,0.009375854,0.00524209],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005175211,0.00006121217,0.3468962,0.00009820449,0.0000119788,0.00001060646,0.0007342928,0.001948937,0.0002360749,0.0767104,0.572355,0.0004195014],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8737965,0.009359467,0.00006245157,0.08436352,0.009150805,0.001806914,0.007121332,0.0001773286,0.01416167],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9849132,0.004151543,0.00008472262,0.007556736,0.002847086,0.0002316714,0.000112516,0.00004285141,0.00005965276],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8867433,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9995835,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1079409950514299,"score_gpt":0.266569215405595,"score_spread":0.158628220354165,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}