{"id":"W4386491254","doi":"10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104062","title":"Can U.S. strategic petroleum reserves calm a tight market exacerbated by the Russia–Ukraine conflict?","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Resources Policy","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta; University of Regina","funders":"University of Regina","keywords":"Economics; Cointegration; Gasoline; Monetary economics; Petroleum; Natural resource economics; International economics; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001415794,0.0002765186,0.0004535999,0.0003801645,0.0003356159,0.0002516444,0.0006635136,0.000171326,0.001172533],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002247516,0.0002320303,0.0001773155,0.001087666,0.0001933223,0.00008015472,0.0002039048,0.0003315637,0.000186508],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001442186,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005710857,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01191118,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006393324,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978465,0.0001122113,0.0006646973,0.0005478174,0.0001033872,0.0007253455],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984187,0.0002200691,0.0003213471,0.0008045112,0.0000275321,0.0002077921],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003518043,0.0003106167,0.2419288,0.0003373432,0.0006162961,0.00005351034,0.006165062,0.0001851749,0.0001756648,0.370203,0.3778915,0.001781147],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006151629,0.00006646726,0.08004747,0.0000155871,0.000007070088,0.000005654749,0.0002292779,0.1320576,0.000006143563,0.01836238,0.7682316,0.0003555692],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7353402,0.001220116,0.000006475138,0.01577416,0.00009722527,0.0002161825,0.001225631,0.0001517359,0.2459683],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9397557,0.0006890101,0.000009071447,0.000443716,0.0003009527,0.00004740135,0.0001219414,0.00005123396,0.05858094],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.39034,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997405,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03549496909381473,"score_gpt":0.2474240403918908,"score_spread":0.2119290712980761,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}