{"id":"W4386554613","doi":"10.48550/arxiv.2309.03163","title":"Asymptotic expansions for blocks estimators: PoT framework","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"arXiv (Cornell University)","topic":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Stanley Medical Research Institute","keywords":"Disjoint sets; Estimator; Series (stratigraphy); Multivariate statistics; Cluster (spacecraft); Boundary (topology); Convergence (economics); Limiting; Mathematics; Rate of convergence; Statistics; Applied mathematics; Computer science; Combinatorics; Mathematical analysis; Engineering; Geology; Key (lock)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.009080033,0.0007084855,0.0008563604,0.001707958,0.000416878,0.001560882,0.002131036,0.001254072,0.00516092],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04026871,0.0004945052,0.001067555,0.001030498,0.002392384,0.004625606,0.002152171,0.00263111,0.0008976155],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009155745,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000583408,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001112619,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007917834,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979532,0.001030557,0.00008410469,0.0002820532,0.0005145801,0.000135588],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9827244,0.01278592,0.001431467,0.001538633,0.001103552,0.0004160836],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004184264,0.00001540529,0.001026867,0.00007211773,0.00003919448,0.0001118092,0.0001450344,0.03688974,0.001241231,0.9500026,0.001000306,0.009413877],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001540401,0.00005156034,0.0008508574,0.00004841952,0.00002465896,0.000108418,0.00004903178,0.5603794,0.0007128631,0.4353693,0.002362394,0.00002775677],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.01530521,0.0004234176,0.979669,0.0004240219,0.00004858832,0.00002802262,0.00011745,0.0001293522,0.003854845],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6974356,0.002040177,0.2785332,0.0006885856,0.0007375113,0.0004878829,0.0005789303,0.0004818649,0.0190163],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009080033,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04802042,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1872491887334336,"score_gpt":0.2172572109844319,"score_spread":0.03000802225099827,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}