{"id":"W4386625527","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4569234","title":"Endogenous Uncertainty","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Capital Investment and Risk Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007700598,0.0004101502,0.0005158525,0.0004761903,0.0005179883,0.002819175,0.0004881991,0.001333332,0.01610967],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006821328,0.0002814775,0.0004302828,0.0005212429,0.001144887,0.00271157,0.001148747,0.001665815,0.001783209],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001060611,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006020098,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005709901,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000310785,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993346,0.0001736557,0.00002269078,0.0001605584,0.0002253152,0.00008316295],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981821,0.001006174,0.0002101202,0.0002826851,0.0002063842,0.0001125784],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000013809,0.00001253776,0.0002100221,0.00002819314,0.00001477714,0.00005369173,0.00004570804,0.008006427,0.0003173947,0.9794106,0.003678754,0.008208104],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005514933,0.000007732883,0.0002382881,0.00001781985,0.000007813685,0.00006973393,0.00002864972,0.02918093,0.0002954694,0.9628178,0.007321762,0.000008524329],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.09058113,0.00830015,0.454986,0.02118966,0.001439018,0.0000625125,0.0007661752,0.000380322,0.422295],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9302098,0.002376859,0.007681278,0.0006458659,0.0006748815,0.00004816438,0.0001698283,0.00006848706,0.05812478],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01610967,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05389225,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05511323724692427,"score_gpt":0.2359113096061228,"score_spread":0.1807980723591986,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}