{"id":"W4386625527","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4569234","title":"Endogenous Uncertainty","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Capital Investment and Risk Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","research_integrity","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002303301,0.0003361234,0.0007351629,0.0006215362,0.0002537264,0.0002301843,0.0006924692,0.0003205705,0.0002020721],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008632648,0.0003512423,0.0007928115,0.0002739971,0.00006143683,0.00009638961,0.0003326773,0.004050836,0.002334209],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002140735,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009510225,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002112054,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001966171,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9959035,0.00003089632,0.000907852,0.0005792055,0.00009032075,0.002488236],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998455,0.00003744553,0.0008482126,0.0004769984,0.00005301421,0.0001292836],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001108745,0.00005434965,0.001659701,0.00001636751,0.001045268,0.00001633537,0.0002174335,0.002498988,0.00000442479,0.9934207,0.0006075685,0.0004477679],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002870505,0.0000857026,0.0001940669,0.00001926623,0.00006806406,0.00008812304,0.0004190665,0.00195256,0.000004769093,0.9920325,0.004444517,0.0004043036],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2715474,0.6922604,0.005373639,0.006213249,0.006925805,0.0008001726,0.0005343233,0.0004663076,0.01587875],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.683943,0.2940813,0.00006173194,0.0001233799,0.001028835,0.0000247591,0.0001158523,0.00008852555,0.02053262],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.4123956,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999894,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05511323724692427,"score_gpt":0.2359113096061228,"score_spread":0.1807980723591986,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}