{"id":"W4386697685","doi":"10.1002/pam.22524","title":"Forecasts for a post‐Roe America: The effects of increased travel distance on abortions and births","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Policy Analysis and Management","topic":"Reproductive Health and Contraception","field":"Medicine","cited_by":43,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Abortion; Quarter (Canadian coin); Demography; Family planning; Induced Abortions; Demographic economics; Medicine; Geography; Pregnancy; Population; Economics; Research methodology; Sociology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000341596,0.00006777023,0.0002910679,0.000531107,0.00007663557,0.00001008761,0.00003336207,0.00001525002,0.000001980696],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002387767,0.00004012702,0.0001532756,0.0007618666,0.0000498247,0.0000333425,0.00001206931,0.00005606887,3.891186e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002550886,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002334695,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001647015,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004114111,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992927,0.00003750604,0.0002775155,0.0001069458,0.000163298,0.0001220479],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999253,0.0001434533,0.0002680132,0.0001305321,0.0001195834,0.0000854258],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004389371,0.0009554427,0.0230337,0.004679441,0.01221721,0.0001021654,0.003181627,0.0002580269,0.009827659,0.03187555,0.008793496,0.9006863],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001491152,0.001148227,0.9871889,0.0001219124,0.002638469,0.000005382095,0.0008711606,0.001221699,0.000245309,0.0006387017,0.004377881,0.0000511888],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9716507,0.000451186,0.009651604,0.01750366,0.00003770657,0.0005228388,0.00001224286,0.000004678308,0.0001654431],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948288,0.003696841,0.0001904019,0.0008054235,0.0001816977,0.00002252828,0.000004780449,0.00000489331,0.0002646251],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9641552,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1636332,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01015090682660174,"score_gpt":0.3156736661803747,"score_spread":0.305522759353773,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}