{"id":"W4386860139","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2023-2063","title":"Evaluating Post-Wildfire Debris Flow Rainfall Thresholds and Volume Models at the 2020 Grizzly Creek Fire in Glenwood Canyon, Colorado, USA","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Canyon; Debris; Debris flow; Environmental science; Hydrology (agriculture); Vegetation (pathology); Geology; Physical geography; Geography; Geomorphology; Oceanography; Geotechnical engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001472589,0.0008078049,0.0005300203,0.0006510185,0.0006031914,0.001244449,0.00132398,0.0008627467,0.0006571718],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001868728,0.000479449,0.0006416343,0.0004366511,0.0003369527,0.0008041051,0.0003973635,0.0006146301,0.0001742404],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004367867,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001899004,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.295981,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3000119,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996529,0.00007127196,0.00001658836,0.0001351556,0.00004699898,0.00007716485],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986469,0.0005640743,0.0001925173,0.00008135364,0.0003597009,0.000155518],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001840482,0.0002567566,0.2669697,0.00003236114,0.0001087448,0.00009368339,0.0001445476,0.7249006,0.0006241989,0.0002887187,0.0008028579,0.005593894],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001791189,0.00007412484,0.06070362,0.00001533942,0.00002929024,0.00001794706,0.0001433568,0.9381795,0.0004542152,0.0001331128,0.0002169983,0.00001460755],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9975707,0.00007098622,0.001085334,0.00005200188,0.000006458861,0.00001791803,0.0004492271,0.00007575117,0.0006716563],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978654,0.00002923917,0.001109949,0.00001505339,0.000003891762,0.00001867705,0.0007554104,0.00001171282,0.0001906646],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.295981,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5885165,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03331640912754782,"score_gpt":0.2718644488294112,"score_spread":0.2385480397018634,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}