{"id":"W4386956826","doi":"10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.09.005","title":"Impact of subgroup-specific heterogeneities and dynamic changes in mortality rates on forecasted population size, deaths, and age distribution of persons receiving antiretroviral treatment in the United States: a computer simulation study","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Annals of Epidemiology","topic":"HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions","field":"Medicine","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"Janssen Pharmaceuticals; National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences; National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases; National Center for Research Resources; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders; National Institute on Drug Abuse; National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism; National Eye Institute; National Institute on Aging; Gilead Sciences; National Cancer Institute; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; National Human Genome Research Institute; Health Resources and Services Administration; National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; National Institute of Mental Health; National Institute of Nursing Research; Massachusetts General Hospital; Government of Alberta; Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; National Institutes of Health; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Pfizer","keywords":"Medicine; Demography; Ethnic group; Mortality rate; Population; Subgroup analysis; Epidemiology; Gerontology; Environmental health; Meta-analysis; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00454968,0.0009468411,0.001243943,0.0009742648,0.0006179682,0.001461525,0.001807812,0.002776578,0.002302018],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0221156,0.001019641,0.002035924,0.0009149004,0.001033902,0.001741384,0.0008901364,0.00225709,0.0002155319],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00258029,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001774067,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07787655,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03586827,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984838,0.0009592489,0.00007167378,0.0002397996,0.00007430538,0.0001712487],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.961763,0.03378468,0.001433201,0.001220872,0.0009468119,0.0008514593],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009105708,0.0007917989,0.05409862,0.00002860804,0.0002898716,0.0001510891,0.0001158891,0.9402187,0.0001867453,0.000834708,0.0005197426,0.001853614],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000170049,0.0002845713,0.009825083,0.00001055667,0.0001024012,0.00004664277,0.0001025666,0.9886056,0.0001495709,0.0005947433,0.00008132395,0.00002697541],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977989,0.00005621934,0.001000396,0.0002128503,0.00001015663,0.0000282832,0.0003872639,0.00003171126,0.0004743758],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986132,0.00004348693,0.0006689347,0.00005348923,0.000007263169,0.00002838,0.0003736311,0.000008768686,0.0002027081],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07787655,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1548465,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2339494363414612,"score_gpt":0.4847408119383084,"score_spread":0.2507913755968472,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}