{"id":"W4387375431","doi":"10.1175/waf-d-23-0074.1","title":"A Probabilistic Prediction of Rogue Waves from a WAVEWATCH III Model for the Northeast Pacific","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Weather and Forecasting","topic":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada; University of Victoria","funders":"Public Safety Canada","keywords":"Rogue wave; Significant wave height; Hindcast; Sea state; Crest; Wind wave; Wave power; Geology; Environmental science; Meteorology; Climatology; Statistics; Nonlinear system; Mathematics; Oceanography; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007276498,0.0006202775,0.0004456904,0.0004089125,0.0003396759,0.0006794332,0.0007432607,0.0007945536,0.001117472],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002028884,0.000268753,0.0006012855,0.0002694951,0.0004535638,0.0003343376,0.0004599768,0.0009762495,0.000118396],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007994621,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009821451,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07927704,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03162349,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998912,0.00002883577,0.000005447759,0.00003024039,0.00001826042,0.00002606631],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991477,0.0004953151,0.0001189403,0.00003628736,0.0001310331,0.00007070639],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002658206,0.00001617185,0.004391901,0.000005611369,0.00001052762,0.00004005638,0.000007734545,0.9939148,0.0001480385,0.0002788364,0.0001745711,0.0009851685],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001787142,0.000005557957,0.0005899338,0.000001062041,0.000001370861,0.000001275224,0.000003097073,0.9992879,0.00002452995,0.00006460858,0.00001733484,0.000001543417],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9753007,0.00008376842,0.02153294,0.0003526515,0.00002683819,0.00004049065,0.0008585661,0.0001278255,0.00167633],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9968669,0.00003344395,0.00199776,0.00001652775,0.000007663529,0.00002071072,0.0004589233,0.000008011373,0.0005901935],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07927704,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1576312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06795019806669475,"score_gpt":0.2352229818466491,"score_spread":0.1672727837799544,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}